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Published:  2014-12-27 Views:  871
Author:  karelnel
Published in:  Security/Sekuriteit
Crime Statistics For Harties Up To 2013 - Part 5

Crime Statistics for Harties up to 2013 – Part 5

Crime figures, unless they are deliberately distorted, tell interesting and usable stories – but even if distorted, and the distortion is discovered, they’ll reveal much about the people and events behind them. Annually, when the SAPS crime figures are published they tell an important part of the story of South Africa, yet few of us care to ‘read’ and even fewer ‘understand’ the story. The SAPS, who are the custodians of the data does their level best to demonstrate good and even improved performance the previous year, while the opposition have a stake in proving with the same figures that crime is spiraling out of control. Although there is some merit in this process of political bickering (part of the processes of democracy in an open society) much more value can be extracted from these figures that can be used in the fight against crime. For example: If trends can be discovered then policies, practices and methodologies can be put in place to timeously curb such trends.

The graphs below are a continuation of crime information about Harties, the North West Province and the RSA as extracted from the SAPS database that was published end 2013. See previous articles for a discussion of the background as well as other categories. The numbering continues from Part 4.

13. THEFT OUT OF OR FROM MOTOR VEHICLE

Figure 13a: Hartbeespoortdam                             

Figure 13b: North West Province                      

Fig 13c: Republic of South Africa

The rising trend of this crime in Harties is significant, and it seems that this particular form of crime is not being controlled. A good analysis (time, place, type of equipment lost, etc.)  of the crime data should be made to determine possible curbing measures. Insurance fraud may be a contributor to this crime statistic.

14. STOCK THEFT

Figure 14a: Hartbeespoortdam                             

Fig 14b: North West Province                      

Fig 14c: Republic of South Africa

The remarkable increase for Harties during 2009/10 was a significant shift, but it seems that countermeasures were effective, but have possibly since lapsed? Obviously this type of crime is localised to the agricultural areas in the precinct and may therefore receive specific focus in some sectors. It would be interesting to determine whether this tendency can be linked to the expansion of informal settlements in the area, or whether the events can be linked to activities from perpetrators from elsewhere.

15. ILLEGAL POSESSION OF FIREARMS AND AMMUNITION

Figure 15a: Hartbeespoortdam                            

Fig 15b:  North West Province                      

Fig 15c: Republic of South Africa

Some assignable reason must have caused the dramatic increase during 2010/11 but it seemed that countermeasures may have been successful. The low level during 2012/13 is favourable. It would be interesting to know how many of these cases resulted from special operations or roadblocks to determine the effectiveness of our countermeasures.

16. DRUG RELATED CRIME

Figure 16a: Hartbeespoortdam                            

 Fig 16b: North West Province                      

Fig 16c: Republic of South Africa

This specific crime trend for Harties is particularly worrisome since it shows a significant positive growth. Some action seems to have curbed the growth in this crime during 2008-2010, but since then the criminals seem to be able to peddle their trade more successfully. This crime should particularly be analysed in more detail so that curbing measures can be devised.

17. DRIVING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF ALCOHOL OR DRUGS

Figure 17a: Hartbeespoortdam                            

Fig 17b: North West Province                      

Fig 17c: Republic of South Africa

This obnoxious crime also sees a steady rise over the past ten years with two years when there were possible interventions.

CONCLUSION:

Everybody has a PERSPECTIVE about crime, but most people’s perspectives are highly subjective (based on own experience) and mostly not realistic. An analysis of proper statistics is like looking at reality through an open window. In this fashion the graphs placed above depict a view on the types of crime represented by the figures. In a sense it discloses some of the truth about the heart and mind of our society. It is up to us and our institutes (like the SAPS) to decide what we are going to do about these ‘truths’. We may act thereupon to work towards a better society, or we may just sit and wait till crime just ‘happens’ to us. I choose to believe that we are NOT helpless victims – we can do much for ourselves and our community!

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KPJ Nel

2014-12-27

 

 


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