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Published:  2014-12-29 Views:  858
Author:  karelnel
Published in:  Security/Sekuriteit
Crime Statistics For Harties - Part 7

Crime Statistics for Harties for the ten years up to 2013  – Part 7

Annually, when the SAPS publish their crime stats a lot of discussion takes place in the media, although, on a local level, it seems that very little attention is paid to it, since it is hardly mentioned. In a discussion during 2014 Lt Col van der Walt assured the undersigned that the SAPS has at their disposal a very sophisticated crime-data-management system that is well-managed. Crime-input data is checked and re-checked to ensure that crime incidences are classified correctly – so one gets the impression that the input data is well managed. This is important since we all know the slogan : ‘ gigo : garbage in –garbage out”. The system can apparently provide the users (the SAPS) with various analyses, alarms and forecasts, based on the crime figures, and even have a GIS component by means of which the geographical positions of crime incidents can be seen and studies. This is however not visible to the public.

There are also other organisations that do analyse the crime data for their own professional reasons and they probably issue reports in this respect that can be accessed. One such website that is interesting to visit can be found at : http://www.issafrica.org/crimehub/stats . From a local public perception point-of-view, one however get the feeling that crime statistics are not understood, studied and used well in our fight against crime.

The graphs below show the crime stats for Harties, North West and the RSA for the remaining crime types that were not addressed in previous articles.

24. Robbery at non-residential premises

Figure 24a: Hartbeespoortdam

                       

Figure 24b: North West Province

                

Figure 24c: Republic of South Africa

The very good decline since 2009 in Hartbeespoort is remarkable and hopefully the slight increase during 2013 does not signal a reversal of the trend. The similarity between this trend and the one above for Robbery- residential is remarkable and probably reveals some connection, either in terms of the perpetrating community, or the functioning of the policing sub-unit addressing these matters

25. Culpable homicide

Figure 25a: Hartbeespoortdam                             

Figure 25b: North West Province                      

Figure 25c: Republic of South Africa

The incidence of this crime appears to be erratic and no trend is discernable.  Arguably this is a serious type of crime and it is not clear why this is not listed in the same category as murder and attempted murder.

26. Public violence

Figure 26a: Hartbeespoortdam                             

Figure 26b: North West Province                      

Figure 26c: Republic of South Africa

This crime is on very low levels and no trend is discernable. It seems as if the population was generally at peace in the precinct during these years.

27. Crimen injuria

Figure 27a: Hartbeespoortdam                             

Figure 27b: North West Province                     

Figure 27c:  Republic of South Africa

Luckily this type of ‘soft-crime’ shows a marked decrease in our precinct. It may perhaps be seen as an indicator of the seriousness of internal strife in the population.

 

28. Neglect and ill-treatment of children

Figure 28a: Hartbeespoortdam                             

Figure 28b: North West Province                      

Figure 28c: Republic of South Africa

Although the figures are low, it is a nasty crime. Fortunately there is no trend visible that indicates deterioration of the situation.

29. Kidnapping  

Figure 29a: Hartbeespoort

Figure 29b: North West Province

Figure 29c: Republic of South Africa

CONCLUSION:

Crime is crime. Or is it?

A moment of reflection will convince that different crimes come from different perpetrators and different processes are at work and methodologies are employed.  It stands to reason that different curbing mechanisms must also be used, and also at the correct points/ places of crimes.

This is exactly where crime statistics have a role to play. It can help to FOCUS the crime fighting effort PRO-ACTIVELY. Analysis can identify the high-impact crimes and the obnoxious ones and can help that crime fighting resources are spent as economically as possible. Crime statistics, if cleverly used by the SAPS, can even help them to focus the supporting effort of their Community Policing Partners. There is a need for creative and constructive thinking about the matter.

A next article in this series will discuss some conclusions and ideas flowing from the statistics that have been portrayed so far in this series of articles. The reader is thanked for his continued interest in this important topic and is invited to join the discussion on how we can make our community safer for us all.

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KPJ Nel

2014-12-29


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